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Finance, FP&A

Building Smarter, Not Bigger: Finance Strategy When Budgets Shrink

Here’s a hard truth most finance professionals avoid: AI won’t replace you. But it will expose you if you don’t know how to think strategically.

Today reminded me why this matters more than ever.

AI-Powered Valuation: Smarter, Not Easier

I started the day wrestling with valuation multiple justification. Not the sexy kind you read about in headlines—the gritty kind that demands rigor, rationale, and receipts. I used AI to scrape recent M&A data, industry comparables, and equity research insights. Here’s the part no one tells you: AI will fetch the bricks, but you still have to build the house.

The ask? Anchor our proposed valuation to something defensible. Not just a multiple, but the logic behind it. I needed:

  • Industry comparables that made sense given our maturity curve
  • Recent transactions in adjacent verticals
  • A breakdown of product roadmap, international potential, and IP moat
  • Concrete examples of differentiation that mattered (not buzzwords)

AI did the heavy lifting on the data side. But I still had to:

  • Frame the narrative: Why this comp, not that one?
  • Organize support: How do we link GTM strength to pricing power?
  • Seek counterpoints: What’s the argument against our valuation case?

Because here’s the deal: you shouldn’t use AI to be your “yes man.” We can all prompt it to confirm what we want. But the real value comes when it challenges us.

When we deliberately prompt for the opposing argument, we expand our understanding. We refine our position. We learn to view the issue—not just our company, not just our thesis—from multiple angles.

If our case doesn’t hold under pressure, that’s not failure. That’s growth. That’s scaling your perspective.

Table: Anchoring Valuation with AI-Backed Fundamentals

Component AI Contribution Human Judgment Required
Industry comps Sourced multiples by sector Select appropriate lifecycle stage
M&A activity Pulled deal metrics Filter by relevance and context
IP & product strength Aggregated patent citations Link to value drivers in narrative
Competitive map Surfaced peer SWOTs Assess durability of advantage
Internationalization Extracted market entry cases Judge feasibility and timelines

The point? You can’t outsource conviction. AI gives you inputs, not insight. It’s your job to form the thesis. And more importantly, defend it.

Pivoting the Finance Transformation Plan (Again)

Afternoon shift: Finance transformation. Specifically, how to move the roadmap forward when resources are collapsing inward like a dying star.

Product needed cash. Sales needed headcount. We needed to “get creative.”

Translation: same objectives, half the support.

What do you do? You get scrappy. Here’s what we had to juggle:

  • Restructure team roles around outcomes, not titles
  • Plug gaps with smart outsourcing (fractional, not frantic)
  • Lean hard on AI tools (bookkeeping, classification, error detection)
  • Build light Power BI automations to cut reporting cycles

We didn’t stop transforming—we just changed shape. Think less “Tesla factory,” more “MacGyver with a duct-taped dashboard.”

Because Finance isn’t just spreadsheets. It’s:

  • Risk management under pressure
  • System building with limited parts
  • Internal consulting across functions
  • Change leadership without the title

If your finance roadmap doesn’t bend, it’ll break. Ours bent like origami today—and somehow still stood up.

Bullet Recap: What Actually Moved the Needle

  • Used AI to surface valuation comps and structure argument
  • Sought out counterpoints to strengthen valuation narrative
  • Rebuilt finance roadmap with tighter constraints
  • Automated internal reporting with Power BI
  • Shifted team bandwidth to advisory roles vs. manual cycles

The Funny Analogy That Actually Fits

Trying to drive finance transformation during budget cuts is like trying to rewire your house with the power still on. You’re moving fast, dodging sparks, and praying nothing explodes—but when the lights stay on, you feel like a genius.

High-Stakes Call to Action

You can keep pretending AI will do the thinking for you. That constraints are just temporary. That your roadmap can wait.

But the businesses that win this cycle will be the ones whose finance leaders adapt in real time—combining tech fluency with strategic guts.

Use AI, yes. But use it to think better, not think less.

Because at the end of the day, when it’s your model, your plan, and your boardroom on the line—there’s no shortcut for accountability.

Is your finance strategy adapting fast enough—or just getting automated into irrelevance?

May 21, 2025/1 Comment/by Sarah Schlott
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https://sarahgschlott.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/pexels-rdne-7947716-scaled-e1747790397288.jpg 800 1200 Sarah Schlott https://sarahgschlott.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/08/icon-10c-two-blob-light_clearspace-300x300.png Sarah Schlott2025-05-21 21:52:252026-10-02 09:05:29Building Smarter, Not Bigger: Finance Strategy When Budgets Shrink
1 reply
  1. Sarah Schlott
    Sarah Schlott says:
    October 2, 2026 at 12:35 pm

    When budgets shrink, what finance work becomes more important rather than less?

    Reply

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Sarah Schlott

FP&A consulting, forecasting, accounting support and finance strategy for CFOs and growing finance teams.

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