It started with an innocent tab in Excel. One that was supposed to be a simple quarterly forecast.One that, in my mind, would reassure leadership we were “on track.”One that—through no fault of my own—became the match that set the HR department on fire. By the end of the week, the company had committed to […]
You ever watch someone calculate margin while actively lying to themselves? It’s a spiritual experience.There’s this faint look of serenity—like a monk in a burning building—while they insist that yes, this customer is profitable, and no, of course the CSM isn’t secretly doing onboarding, support, and three calls a week of emotional labor because “they’re […]
The worst forecast I ever delivered was also the most “accurate.”It hit the board with a 1.2% variance to actuals. Applause. Confetti. CFO high-fived me in the hallway.And yet—I knew, standing there with my little Excel trophy—I had failed. Because what didn’t happen? We didn’t see the customer flight risk.We didn’t reroute spending early enough […]
If your finance team still chases “variance explanations” like it’s CSI: Miami, you don’t have an FP&A function. You’ve got forensic accounting in a lab coat. Let’s just say it: variance analysis is one of the most glorified distractions in corporate finance. Sure, it sounds important. Precise. Like you’re doing something serious. But most of […]
Most companies don’t scale because they lack capital. They stall because they never designed an operating system strong enough to handle the weight of growth. And the finance team? They’re often the last to get one. Instead of operating like a product org with sprints and a clear roadmap, or like sales with a CRM […]
There’s a silent saboteur inside every FP&A model. Not bias.Not bad inputs.Not even the politics. It’s time. Not as in timing—that’s obvious.As in calendar drift: the misalignment between when things are supposed to happen and when they actually do. At first glance, it looks like nothing. Your sales team says Q3 will close $4M.Great—you drop […]
We’ve all been in that meeting. The numbers are final.The slide deck is sharp.The CFO is ready to present. And then someone from product throws in a curveball:“What if we shifted the launch to Q4 instead?” Cue the scrambling.Cue the side-eyes.Cue the last-minute model edit while everyone pretends this wasn’t foreseeable. But here’s the thing: […]
I’ve been in finance long enough to remember when FP&A was the last to be invited to the big meetings—if we were invited at all. We were the spreadsheet people. The ones who showed up late in the process to confirm what everyone else already decided. That version of FP&A is dying. And in 2025, […]
There are rules in FP&A for a reason. I respect them. I really do. But after a decade in SaaS finance, I’ve learned that sometimes the difference between stagnation and breakout growth comes down to knowing which rules to bend, which to challenge, and which to quietly throw out the window. This isn’t about reckless […]
A while back, I pushed a forecast to the executive team that looked like it had been built in a sterile lab. Smooth trends. Tight margins. No funny business. It told the story we all wanted to hear: stable burn, healthy revenue growth, clean close into year-end. It was the kind of model that says, […]